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-   -   Obama raising huge money since Super Tuesday... (https://www.seccs.org/forums/showthread.php?t=6604)

Kevin M 2008-02-14 11:14 AM

Maybe they're setting up for good cop/bad cop.

"We're sorry we hired such a douche. The new guy is going to be much nicer about dragging my opponent through the slime."

sperry 2008-02-14 11:17 AM

Well, at least he's working for the campaign I want to lose. :lol:

knucklesplitter 2008-02-15 02:27 PM

Obama's campaign guy, David Axelrod:

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics...0,610634.story

knucklesplitter 2008-02-20 01:08 PM

This just in... Clinton surrogate says all you Obama supporters are "latte-drinking, Prius- driving, Birkenstock-wearing, trust fund babies".

Kevin M 2008-02-20 01:33 PM

Damn, I'm O-fer on that score. :( Who do I have to vote for now?

sperry 2008-02-20 03:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knucklesplitter (Post 114787)
This just in... Clinton surrogate says all you Obama supporters are "latte-drinking, Prius- driving, Birkenstock-wearing, trust fund babies".

Ugh.

Here's what's gonna happen. Clinton is going to push her supports to hate Obama so much that when she loses the Dem nomination, she'll have left the party so split the democrats will lose the general election.

All hail our new overlord John McCain.

Kevin M 2008-02-20 04:03 PM

At least it's not Romney or Huckabee.

knucklesplitter 2008-02-20 05:32 PM

Lot more trustfund babies than I thought out there. Obama has had over 920,000 (and rapidly climbing) people donate to his campaign. That's pretty amazing.

(counter currently here)
http://www.barackobama.com/index.php#

sperry 2008-05-07 11:11 AM

Awesome.

Clinton just gave herself another $6.4M just to make sure that even though she's got virtually no chance of getting the Democratic nod over Obama, she's going to be able to fight long enough to ensure McCain wins the Whitehouse due to a divided Democrat party. :roll:

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5j...BnGqwD90GUIOG0

MPREZIV 2008-05-07 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sperry (Post 114798)
Ugh.

Here's what's gonna happen. Clinton is going to push her supports to hate Obama so much that when she loses the Dem nomination, she'll have left the party so split the democrats will lose the general election.

All hail our new overlord John McCain.

You said it 2 months ago... Negrodamus?

Dean 2008-05-07 11:16 AM

She is trying to buy a VP spot on the ticket, though I think Colin Powell would still make a compelling ticket.

Kevin M 2008-05-07 11:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dean (Post 118311)
She is trying to buy a VP spot on the ticket, though I think Colin Powell would still make a compelling ticket.

I'm pretty sure Colin Powell has zero interest whatsoever in high office of any kind. I also doubt Clinton would take the VP. If she lost the nomination and Obama lost in the general, she'd be a shoe-in for the '12 nomination. And if he won, she could probably take on whoever his VP ends up being and potentially win the nomination then.

sperry 2008-05-07 11:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dean (Post 118311)
She is trying to buy a VP spot on the ticket, though I think Colin Powell would still make a compelling ticket.

I thought both sides had already ruled out sharing a ticket, though I think an Obama/Clinton platform might actually work well. I just think that after such a hard fight for the primary, neither will want to campaign with the other.

sperry 2008-05-07 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dean (Post 118311)
She is trying to buy a VP spot on the ticket, though I think Colin Powell would still make a compelling ticket.

Colin Powell is a party-loathing Republican. I don't see him running for the Democratic VP nomination. :lol:

Dean 2008-05-07 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sperry (Post 118314)
Colin Powell is a party-loathing Republican. I don't see him running for the Democratic VP nomination. :lol:

What better opportunity could you imagine for a party-loathing republican. And talk about a change to the status quo.

Kevin M 2008-05-07 11:41 AM

It would definitely kick ass to see any of the remaining candidates actually think in terms of improving the country instead of filling their demographic gaps with their runningmate. But I don't see it happening this year.

AtomicLabMonkey 2008-05-07 06:54 PM

We got the job done here in Cackalack. I can't believe this primary fight is still going though...

knucklesplitter 2008-06-03 03:30 PM

It is done. AP says nomination is "clinched".

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5i...54YCwD912RMEO0

Kevin M 2008-06-03 06:00 PM

Now the question is whether Clinton will step down before the convention.

JonnydaJibba 2008-10-29 10:56 AM

Wow, have we really not discussed politics in almost 5 months?

I have a question that I'm sure you SMRT guys can answer.

Let's discuss this "redistribution of wealth." I don't understand it at all. The way the Repubs explain it, he will take MY money and straight up give it to somebody else who doesn't make as much as me. The way I understand this part of Obamas tax plan is that people making more than 250k will be taxed at a higher rate. Will that money then be used to fund programs designed to help lower income people? Or am I going to get taxed higher and then that money will be given to people making less? What am I missing here?

knucklesplitter 2008-10-29 11:47 AM

Obama's plan is basically a tax cut for everybody making less than $250k/year, and those making more than $250k/year will be taxed at pre-GWBush rates. I wouldn't call that "socialism" like the McCain/Drudge/FauxNews crowd tends to do. In fact Mcain opposed the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy back when he was more of a real maverick, and nobody called him a socialist.

Here is an online calculator if you want to see what would happen to you if the plan gets implemented:
http://taxcut.barackobama.com/

sperry 2008-10-29 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonnydaJibba (Post 124888)
Wow, have we really not discussed politics in almost 5 months?

I have a question that I'm sure you SMRT guys can answer.

Let's discuss this "redistribution of wealth." I don't understand it at all. The way the Repubs explain it, he will take MY money and straight up give it to somebody else who doesn't make as much as me. The way I understand this part of Obamas tax plan is that people making more than 250k will be taxed at a higher rate. Will that money then be used to fund programs designed to help lower income people? Or am I going to get taxed higher and then that money will be given to people making less? What am I missing here?

A lot has been made of nothing IMO, simply because of the phrase "spread the wealth around a little". Fundamentally, both parties want to redistribute money around to save the economy... the difference is in how they want to do it.

The "standard" Republican method is via tax cuts to the rich. The idea is that by saving the big businesses money, they have more to spend in improving their business, which in turn creates more jobs, which in turn puts money into the hands of the middle class, who in turn are supposed to buy more stuff and therefore make the big businesses more successful, and thus upward-spiral the economy into better days. This is basically what they mean by "trickle down economics", in that you make policy changes to a few at the top of the pyramid that eventually make it down to everyone.

The Democrat method has the same goals, but focuses on the middle class first. The idea is you cut the middle classes taxes so they have money to spend in the economy that eventually makes its way into the hands of the big businesses. But in order to pay for gov't services, taxes have to be raised on the rich... but IMO, the top 1% can afford the cost much more easily than the rest of us... afterall, paying say 20% more in taxes when you make $50M/year is the difference between getting both a Porsche and a Ferrari or having to pick one, whereas 20% more taxes when you make $50k/year is the difference in making your mortgage payment or not.

And IMO, there are several other problems with McCain's plan:

1st, trickle-down doesn't work so well. It was trickle-down policies that got us into the whole housing meltdown (de-regulation of the industry was supposed to allow them to regulate themselves and choose their own risk, but we see how well that worked out). Plus, when you give a big cut to the top, they just pocket half of it for themselves, then trickle only 50% of the savings down to the next guy so takes his half then passes it along... so a $4B tax cut to ExxonMobile ends up doing what for the middle class, saving us $0.03/gal? Big whoop.

2nd if we're cutting taxes to the rich, how do we fund the insane costs of the gov't? Republicans used to be able to suggest tax cuts because they used to also operate on a platform of less and cheaper gov't, but that's not the case with today's Republicans that want to fund a $1 trillion war and a $1 trillion economy bailout (which the Republicans support even though it's far more socialist than Obama's tax plan, figure that one out). If we're cutting taxes to the rich to spur the economy, how do we fund the gov't properly? McCain's said little more than "we'll make it work because American is awesome!".

IMO, the Democrat plan is far more realistic, well thought out, and will have a better over-all effect on the economy. Cutting taxes to the middle class puts money directly in the hands of the people that need it the most when the economy sours. The bailout gets funded by the people that are directly benefiting from the bailout (rich bankers) who are the people that aren't going to be in the poor-house over having to pay more taxes.

It seems to me, we're in for hard times regardless of the plan used... it just seems fair that those that benefited the most at the top during the boom should be the people that step up the most to help the nation recover during the bust. The middle class are going to have a hard enough time with unemployment, inflation, etc... taxing the rich has less of a burden on less people.

JonnydaJibba 2008-10-29 01:04 PM

That really cleared it up for me. Thanks for the posts guys.

Nick Koan 2008-10-29 03:22 PM

Go ahead, milk your 15 minutes. Milk it baby!

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/15072.html

sperry 2008-10-29 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nick Koan (Post 124893)
Go ahead, milk your 15 minutes. Milk it baby!

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/15072.html

I hope he makes more than $250,000 off his fame, and Barak's plan taxes his ass. Then everyone forgets about him and he has to go back to making $25k/year plumbing.

van 2008-10-29 04:04 PM

I always like to read sperrys political opinions

Dean 2008-10-29 04:22 PM

He's not even a licensed plumber!!!

MattR 2008-10-29 05:51 PM

The problem is, from an article I cannot find right now on Barron's, that Obama's tax plan affects those making $111k per year and up with significant increases.. not just the rich. I don't consider $111k per year rich, especially when it's lumped into the same group with $250k+ income. I hope it's all flowers and roses like you say Scott, unfortunately, I have a feeling I'll be paying a significantly larger amount of tax in the near future.

MattR 2008-10-29 05:53 PM

According to Obama's calculator, I'm all good, it's just so difficult to decide what stories to believe.

MikeK 2008-10-29 07:46 PM

Written in 2001: http://www.theonion.com/content/node/28784

JonnydaJibba 2008-10-30 08:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MattR (Post 124898)
it's just so difficult to decide what stories to believe.

I know, especially when everybody is saying everybody else is a liar.

100_Percent_Juice 2008-10-30 08:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonnydaJibba (Post 124913)
I know, especially when everybody is saying everybody else is a liar.

Especially when everyone is right in saying that.

JC 2008-10-30 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MattR (Post 124897)
The problem is, from an article I cannot find right now on Barron's, that Obama's tax plan affects those making $111k per year and up with significant increases.. not just the rich. I don't consider $111k per year rich, especially when it's lumped into the same group with $250k+ income. I hope it's all flowers and roses like you say Scott, unfortunately, I have a feeling I'll be paying a significantly larger amount of tax in the near future.

You will be ok big baller.

http://i222.photobucket.com/albums/d...Picture3-8.png

http://money.cnn.com/2008/10/29/news...lans/index.htm

Dean 2008-10-30 10:26 AM

Even that CNN article misrepresents the TPC data. Not that they are even "The Gospel". If you want to see their analysis, go to http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxto...candidates.cfm

You will see that the data even diverges based on whether you beleive what they published, or said in speeches or put in press releases, and when...

JonnydaJibba 2008-10-30 10:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 100_Percent_Juice (Post 124914)
Especially when everyone is right in saying that.

That is a whole other issue entirely. :(

ScottyS 2008-10-30 11:40 AM

Seriously, ignore everything that is promised during an election and simply look at the history of each party machine over the last 2 decades in Congress. Look at the trends of government agency and program expansion, and ask yourself where all that money will come from. Those costs will get passed on via direct and indirect channels to the group of people with the least amount of practical legislative and legal representation - i.e. you and me.

knucklesplitter 2008-10-30 03:16 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Past performance is no guarantee of future results, but...

http://tlrii.typepad.com/thelisciore.../07/07/gdp.gif

http://tlrii.typepad.com/thelisciore...employment.gif

http://tlrii.typepad.com/thelisciore...employment.gif

http://tlrii.typepad.com/thelisciore.../07/stocks.gif

http://tlrii.typepad.com/thelisciore...07/07/gini.gif

http://tlrii.typepad.com/thelisciore...ential-ec.html

Dean 2008-10-30 03:43 PM

The National debt one is the scariest... We had it all but licked at the end of the Clinton years and now it is higher than ever.... :(

National debt = tax on your children and a reason not to count on social security to fund your retirement.

ScottyS 2008-10-30 04:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knucklesplitter (Post 124935)
Past performance is no guarantee of future results, but...

Linking economic performance to presidencies is shaky, in a global marketplace the performance of the internal US economy should be dependent upon policies regulated by the Congress. Response times are also an issue.

It can also be argued heavily that the behaviors of various long-term economic stats respond much faster to international events (such as war) than to a single president's policies within his administration timeframe. Different actions and events carry with them various time-lags.

Calculation of such things as the national debt and GDP is very tricky these days......

Dean 2008-10-30 04:43 PM

I agree with Scotty on GDP, but national debt, not so much. National debt is a pretty real number based on pretty hard numbers right on the bottom of the federal government's balance sheet.

knucklesplitter 2008-11-01 01:10 PM

Headline News...
 
CNNBC: "Obama's Loss Traced To Scott Perry"

http://www.cnnbcvideo.com/index.html...456326-3VuhKax

That is some funny shit.

van 2008-11-01 03:33 PM

:)

sperry 2009-01-20 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sperry (Post 114037)
I think Obama could be that president. Not really because of who he is personally, or because of his policies... but more because of what he represents. If the US has a black president, with the exception of the racist minority in the country, I think most people would feel good about turning a page in history. I think people from both sides of the political spectrum will want him to succeed because his success is also success for the nation as it moves into a new era of higher equality, rather than the current political process where the winning party wants to step all over the losing party as much as possible until they lose the next election when the tables are turned.

I also think that a woman president could have the same effect, but I think that Hilary is too much of a partisan politician. I think she'll have a hard time getting republicans behind her because of all the mutual history of hate between her camp and the republican camp. Obama isn't so stigmatized like that.

(Yes, I'm quoting myself.) It's now a year later, and Obama is our 44th President. I'm happy to say that right now I really get the feeling that my hope from last year about Obama seems to be coming true... the pictures from the inauguration are really inspiring. A million people waving flags and celebrating is one hell of an endorsement.

Granted, it's only day 1, and the problems our nation faces today seem even harder than they did a year ago. The honeymoon may be *very* short with Obama. But I have to admit, it feels surprisingly good to know that Bush and his cronies can't screw up the world any more than they already have.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/media/...1/44612666.jpg

tysonK 2009-01-20 03:35 PM

The DOW took a nice hit, thanks Obama!

But serirously, the fact that many people are happy about the concept of Obama being Presdient is certainly a success for us on the world stage.

AtomicLabMonkey 2009-01-21 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sperry (Post 127275)
But I have to admit, it feels surprisingly good to know that Bush and his cronies can't screw up the world any more than they already have.

Oh no, they still can and will. People in government mostly go to work for lobbying firms, think tanks and/or write books after their term of service is up, which play large roles in crafting government policy & influencing public opinion. So, they'll still be around. :|

Dean 2009-02-09 06:20 PM

Watching his first major news conference, one thing stands out. He speaks intelligently in complete sentences using actual English words and even occasionally answers the questions. Even if you disagree with his policies or politics, that should at least be refreshing.

I don't want us to end up like the 30s, or Japan and would rather not put future generations further in debt. I don't have the answers, but at least the financial people around him are a good cross section. Now if only we could get the congress, on both sides, to pull the sticks out of their asses and actually work for their constituents, we might get somewhere.

I would really like to see all the rating agency management and staff and risk management folks at the CDO involved firms brought up on criminal fraud charges.


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