John's Nationals PAX article comments
I sent this to John and Jim Gandy, but thought I'd post it here as well.
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John, I appreciate your insightful look into the PAX results for this year's nationals, but wanted to mention some confusion that might be caused by your article.
Bullet #2:
As someone who drove a bone stock, under prepared CS Miata to 7th place in PAX twice last year, and 9th overall for the season, I would bet that a well prepared CS car would be capable of winning PAX at Stead.
Bullet #9:
A ST car running in the appropriate SP class can only run race tires. No other SP allowances are permitted. (See Sec 15, SP introduction paragraph 6)
If the intent was to comment on the differences between a ST and SP prepared car, then there are many more than "throttle body change and removal of emissions equipment" that have significant performance improvements. Open boost on forced induction cars is a significant one among the many.
And due to those differences in preparation for ST and SP prepared cars, in many classes, it is not possible to apply on unapply our ST modifier and get meaningful data between the two.
Bullet #12:
There are 8 seconds between the top CS car and the top EM car. 82.680
vs. 90.665
The other interesting way to look at the data would be to look each course independently.
Overall, the reality is that until Rick publishes his methodology and accepts input on it, or somebody develops a new statistical model and handicapping system to replace PAX, we are stuck with it, or as I recommended last year stop using it.
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